Opinion Poll by MRB, 23 June–1 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
43.6% |
42.2–45.0% |
41.8–45.4% |
41.4–45.8% |
40.8–46.5% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
28.3% |
27.0–29.6% |
26.7–30.0% |
26.4–30.3% |
25.8–31.0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.7–9.3% |
7.4–9.5% |
7.3–9.7% |
6.9–10.1% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.2% |
5.5–7.0% |
5.4–7.2% |
5.2–7.3% |
4.9–7.7% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.2% |
3.7–4.8% |
3.5–5.0% |
3.4–5.2% |
3.2–5.5% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
3.1–4.2% |
3.0–4.4% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.7–4.8% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.8% |
1.0–1.9% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
74% |
100% |
Median |
10 |
26% |
26% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
96% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
10% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.7% |
98.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
15% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
85% |
85% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
74% |
100% |
Median |
10 |
26% |
26% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2021-07-01-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 23 June–1 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.27%