Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 27 June–4 July 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
35.2% |
33.6–36.9% |
33.1–37.4% |
32.8–37.8% |
32.0–38.6% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
25.3% |
23.8–26.8% |
23.4–27.3% |
23.1–27.6% |
22.4–28.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
14.4% |
13.3–15.7% |
13.0–16.1% |
12.7–16.4% |
12.1–17.0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.0% |
5.3–6.9% |
5.0–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.5–7.8% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.9% |
5.2–6.8% |
5.0–7.1% |
4.8–7.3% |
4.5–7.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.2% |
2.8–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.4–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
34% |
100% |
|
8 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
6 |
39% |
39% |
Last Result |
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
3 |
96% |
99.3% |
Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-07-04-Alco-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
34% |
100% |
|
8 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 27 June–4 July 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1400
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.18%