Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 19–21 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
35.7% |
33.8–37.7% |
33.2–38.2% |
32.8–38.7% |
31.9–39.7% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
27.2% |
25.5–29.1% |
25.0–29.6% |
24.5–30.1% |
23.7–31.0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
13.4% |
12.1–14.9% |
11.7–15.3% |
11.4–15.7% |
10.8–16.4% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.4–8.3% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.1% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
38% |
100% |
|
8 |
61% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
21% |
100% |
|
6 |
78% |
79% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
17% |
100% |
|
3 |
83% |
83% |
Median |
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.4% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–9 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2022-09-21-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
38% |
100% |
|
8 |
61% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 19–21 September 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.53%