Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 6–13 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
33.2% |
31.6–34.8% |
31.2–35.3% |
30.8–35.7% |
30.1–36.4% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
29.7% |
28.2–31.3% |
27.8–31.7% |
27.4–32.1% |
26.7–32.9% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
10.9% |
9.9–12.0% |
9.6–12.3% |
9.4–12.6% |
8.9–13.2% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.2% |
5.5–7.1% |
5.2–7.3% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.7–8.0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.4% |
4.7–6.2% |
4.5–6.5% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.0–7.1% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.4–6.3% |
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
9.4% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.6% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–1.9% |
0.6–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
7 |
84% |
99.4% |
Median |
8 |
16% |
16% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
45% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
55% |
55% |
Median |
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
79% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
21% |
21% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
9% |
9% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-seats-pmf-χρυσήαυγήni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
6–8 |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI) |
5 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
7 |
84% |
99.4% |
Median |
8 |
16% |
16% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) – Χρυσή Αυγή (NI)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-13-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-κκε–χα.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
9% |
9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 6–13 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1450
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.43%