Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 22–28 March 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
32.5% |
30.8–34.2% |
30.4–34.6% |
30.0–35.1% |
29.2–35.9% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
26.7% |
25.2–28.3% |
24.8–28.8% |
24.4–29.2% |
23.7–30.0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
11.7% |
10.6–12.9% |
10.3–13.3% |
10.1–13.6% |
9.6–14.2% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.1% |
6.3–8.1% |
6.0–8.4% |
5.8–8.7% |
5.5–9.2% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.1% |
4.3–6.3% |
4.1–6.6% |
3.8–7.0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.1–5.7% |
3.9–5.9% |
3.8–6.1% |
3.5–6.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
5% |
100% |
|
7 |
90% |
95% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
20% |
100% |
|
6 |
79% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
62% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
38% |
38% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
67% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
33% |
33% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
7 |
6–7 |
6–8 |
6–8 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-03-28-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
5% |
100% |
|
7 |
90% |
95% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): Mega TV
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 March 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1306
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.47%