Opinion Poll by Κάπα Research, 5 May 2022–9 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
36.6% |
34.8–38.4% |
34.4–38.9% |
33.9–39.4% |
33.1–40.3% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
29.9% |
28.2–31.6% |
27.7–32.1% |
27.3–32.5% |
26.6–33.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
9.8% |
8.8–11.0% |
8.5–11.3% |
8.3–11.6% |
7.8–12.2% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.6% |
6.7–8.6% |
6.4–8.9% |
6.2–9.2% |
5.8–9.8% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.3% |
3.5–5.5% |
3.4–5.7% |
3.1–6.2% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.1% |
3.4–4.9% |
3.2–5.2% |
3.1–5.3% |
2.8–5.8% |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.2% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.8–2.7% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.6–2.2% |
ΕΑΝ… (*) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.6–2.2% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.6–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
4% |
100% |
|
8 |
79% |
96% |
Median |
9 |
17% |
17% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
35% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
65% |
65% |
Median |
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
11% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
94% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.8% |
99.6% |
Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-εθνικήδημιουργίαid.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίαςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
ΕΑΝ… (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ΕΑΝ… (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-εαν….png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
8–9 |
8–9 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
4% |
100% |
|
8 |
79% |
96% |
Median |
9 |
17% |
17% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-09-ΚάπαResearch-coalitions-seats-pmf-εδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Κάπα Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5 May 2022–9 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1202
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.29%