Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 10–11 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
37.2% |
35.4–39.1% |
34.9–39.6% |
34.4–40.1% |
33.6–41.0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
30.4% |
28.6–32.2% |
28.2–32.7% |
27.7–33.1% |
26.9–34.0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
10.3% |
9.2–11.5% |
8.9–11.9% |
8.6–12.2% |
8.1–12.8% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.4% |
6.5–8.5% |
6.2–8.8% |
6.0–9.1% |
5.6–9.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.9% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.7–5.8% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.9–4.7% |
2.7–4.9% |
2.4–5.4% |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0.0% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
5% |
100% |
|
8 |
87% |
95% |
Median |
9 |
8% |
8% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
47% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
7 |
53% |
53% |
Median |
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
47% |
100% |
|
2 |
53% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
12% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-seats-pmf-εθνικήδημιουργίαid.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
8 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
5% |
100% |
|
8 |
87% |
95% |
Median |
9 |
8% |
8% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-GPO-coalitions-seats-pmf-εδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 10–11 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1120
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.02%