Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 4–11 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
36.1% |
34.8–37.5% |
34.4–37.9% |
34.1–38.2% |
33.4–38.9% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
28.0% |
26.7–29.3% |
26.4–29.6% |
26.1–29.9% |
25.5–30.6% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
10.3% |
9.5–11.2% |
9.3–11.5% |
9.1–11.7% |
8.7–12.1% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.3% |
6.6–8.1% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.0–8.9% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.4% |
3.9–5.1% |
3.7–5.2% |
3.6–5.4% |
3.4–5.7% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.8–3.8% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.1% |
2.4–4.4% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
2.0–2.9% |
1.9–3.0% |
1.8–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0.0% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.7% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.9–1.9% |
0.8–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
6% |
100% |
|
8 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
9 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
6 |
96% |
99.5% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
3% |
3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
24% |
100% |
|
2 |
76% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
23% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίαςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-εθνικήδημιουργίαid.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–9 |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
6% |
100% |
|
8 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
9 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-11-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-εδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): Mega TV
- Fieldwork period: 4–11 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2105
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.94%