Opinion Poll by Palmos Analysis for Tvxs.gr, 13–17 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
35.4% |
33.7–37.1% |
33.2–37.6% |
32.8–38.0% |
32.0–38.9% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
28.0% |
26.5–29.7% |
26.0–30.1% |
25.7–30.5% |
24.9–31.3% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
9.1% |
8.2–10.2% |
7.9–10.5% |
7.7–10.8% |
7.2–11.4% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
6.7% |
5.9–7.7% |
5.7–8.0% |
5.5–8.2% |
5.1–8.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.2% |
3.5–5.4% |
3.4–5.6% |
3.1–6.0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.4% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.5–5.2% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.5% |
2.2–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
1.8–4.2% |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0.0% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.2% |
1.2–2.4% |
1.1–2.5% |
1.0–2.8% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.9% |
0.7–2.0% |
0.6–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
23% |
100% |
|
8 |
76% |
77% |
Median |
9 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
92% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
7 |
7% |
7% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
98.6% |
99.4% |
Median |
3 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
58% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
42% |
42% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
62% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
38% |
38% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-εθνικήδημιουργίαid.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–9 |
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
23% |
100% |
|
8 |
76% |
77% |
Median |
9 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Εθνική Δημιουργία (ID)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-05-17-PalmosAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-εδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Palmos Analysis
- Commissioner(s): Tvxs.gr
- Fieldwork period: 13–17 May 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1306
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.99%