Opinion Poll by Marc for ΑΝΤ1, 7–11 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
41.9% |
40.3–43.6% |
39.8–44.0% |
39.4–44.4% |
38.7–45.2% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
19.8% |
18.5–21.2% |
18.2–21.6% |
17.8–21.9% |
17.3–22.6% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
11.2% |
10.2–12.3% |
9.9–12.6% |
9.7–12.9% |
9.2–13.4% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.3% |
6.5–8.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.7–9.2% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.0% |
4.3–6.2% |
4.2–6.4% |
3.9–6.9% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.7% |
3.2–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.5% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.8–4.0% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.3–4.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.7% |
1.6–2.9% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.3–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
100% |
|
9 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
10 |
10% |
10% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
84% |
99.9% |
Median |
5 |
16% |
16% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
69% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
31% |
31% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
33% |
100% |
|
2 |
67% |
67% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίαςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.4% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
22% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
9 |
9–10 |
8–10 |
8–10 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-11-Marc-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
100% |
|
9 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
10 |
10% |
10% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Marc
- Commissioner(s): ΑΝΤ1
- Fieldwork period: 7–11 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1501
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.87%