Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 16–21 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
42.2% |
40.5–43.9% |
40.0–44.4% |
39.6–44.8% |
38.8–45.6% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
19.7% |
18.4–21.1% |
18.0–21.5% |
17.7–21.8% |
17.1–22.5% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
11.1% |
10.1–12.3% |
9.8–12.6% |
9.6–12.9% |
9.1–13.4% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.2% |
6.4–8.2% |
6.1–8.4% |
6.0–8.7% |
5.6–9.2% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.5% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.6–5.2% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
3.1–4.4% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.8–4.8% |
2.5–5.1% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.5–3.7% |
2.3–3.9% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.0–4.4% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.8–2.8% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.4% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.5–2.8% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.3–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
9 |
83% |
99.1% |
Median |
10 |
16% |
16% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
74% |
99.9% |
Median |
5 |
26% |
26% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
59% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
41% |
41% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
29% |
100% |
|
2 |
71% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
50% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
50% |
50% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-σπαρτιάτες.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
4% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.0% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
9–10 |
8–10 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-06-21-Alco-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
9 |
83% |
99.1% |
Median |
10 |
16% |
16% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 16–21 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1403
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.81%