Opinion Poll by Rass for iefimerida, 19–22 June 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 22.7% 43.0% 41.0–45.0% 40.4–45.6% 39.9–46.1% 39.0–47.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 26.6% 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.3–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 6.1% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 5 9 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–10
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 6 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3 3–4 2–4 2–4
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.9% 100%  
9 50% 99.1% Median
10 49% 49%  
11 0.2% 0.2% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 22% 100%  
4 77% 78% Median
5 1.2% 1.2%  
6 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 4% 100%  
3 90% 96% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 11% 100%  
2 88% 89% Last Result, Median
3 0.9% 0.9%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 96% 97% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Last Result, Median
1 36% 36%  
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 32%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 5 9 0.2% 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.9% 100%  
9 50% 99.1% Median
10 49% 49%  
11 0.2% 0.2% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations