Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 25–28 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
38.0% |
36.1–39.9% |
35.6–40.5% |
35.1–41.0% |
34.2–41.9% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
17.3% |
15.9–18.9% |
15.5–19.3% |
15.1–19.7% |
14.5–20.5% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
12.1% |
10.9–13.5% |
10.5–13.9% |
10.3–14.2% |
9.7–14.9% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.2% |
7.7–10.6% |
7.4–10.9% |
6.9–11.5% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.9–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.9–5.2% |
2.6–5.7% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
2.9% |
2.4–3.7% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.1–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
2.0–4.0% |
1.8–4.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
80% |
97% |
Median |
9 |
17% |
17% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
27% |
100% |
|
4 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
46% |
100% |
|
3 |
54% |
54% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
40% |
40% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-σπαρτιάτες.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
24% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
76% |
76% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
61% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
39% |
39% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
64% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
36% |
36% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
8–9 |
8–9 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-09-28-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
3% |
100% |
|
8 |
80% |
97% |
Median |
9 |
17% |
17% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 25–28 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1058
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.84%