Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 5–7 December 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
41.7% |
39.4–44.0% |
38.8–44.7% |
38.2–45.3% |
37.2–46.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
13.5% |
12.0–15.2% |
11.6–15.7% |
11.2–16.1% |
10.6–17.0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
12.1% |
10.7–13.7% |
10.3–14.2% |
9.9–14.6% |
9.3–15.4% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
10.3% |
9.0–11.9% |
8.7–12.3% |
8.4–12.7% |
7.8–13.5% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
6.6% |
5.6–7.9% |
5.3–8.3% |
5.1–8.6% |
4.6–9.3% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.6–5.3% |
2.3–5.9% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*) |
0.0% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.4–5.0% |
2.1–5.5% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.5–3.7% |
1.3–4.2% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.3–3.4% |
1.1–3.9% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.1–3.1% |
0.9–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
5% |
100% |
|
9 |
71% |
95% |
Median |
10 |
24% |
24% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
91% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
7% |
7% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
22% |
100% |
|
3 |
77% |
78% |
Median |
4 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
73% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
27% |
27% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
40% |
100% |
|
2 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
13% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
86% |
87% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-σπαρτιάτες.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
20% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
80% |
80% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
80% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
20% |
20% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
6% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0.1% |
9–10 |
9–10 |
8–10 |
8–10 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2023-12-07-GPO-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
5% |
100% |
|
9 |
71% |
95% |
Median |
10 |
24% |
24% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 5–7 December 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 755
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.70%