Opinion Poll by Marc for ΑΝΤ1, 8–15 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
37.1% |
35.0–39.2% |
34.4–39.8% |
33.9–40.3% |
33.0–41.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
16.8% |
15.3–18.5% |
14.8–19.0% |
14.5–19.4% |
13.8–20.3% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
12.6% |
11.2–14.1% |
10.9–14.6% |
10.5–15.0% |
9.9–15.7% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
9.4% |
8.2–10.8% |
7.9–11.2% |
7.6–11.5% |
7.1–12.2% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
7.0% |
6.0–8.2% |
5.7–8.6% |
5.5–8.9% |
5.0–9.5% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–4.0% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.1–4.5% |
1.9–4.9% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–4.0% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.1–4.5% |
1.9–4.9% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.3–3.9% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.0–4.3% |
1.8–4.8% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–4.0% |
1.9–4.2% |
1.7–4.6% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.7% |
1.3–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
7% |
100% |
|
8 |
72% |
93% |
Median |
9 |
21% |
21% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
29% |
100% |
|
4 |
70% |
71% |
Median |
5 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
10% |
100% |
|
3 |
89% |
90% |
Median |
4 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
99.2% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
10% |
10% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
43% |
100% |
|
2 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
43% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-σπαρτιάτες.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
46% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
54% |
54% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
53% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
47% |
47% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
40% |
40% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
80% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
20% |
20% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
8–9 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-15-Marc-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
7% |
100% |
|
8 |
72% |
93% |
Median |
9 |
21% |
21% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Marc
- Commissioner(s): ΑΝΤ1
- Fieldwork period: 8–15 January 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 874
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.88%