Opinion Poll by GPO for Star TV, 22–24 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
38.8% |
36.8–40.9% |
36.2–41.5% |
35.7–42.0% |
34.8–43.0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
14.2% |
12.8–15.8% |
12.5–16.2% |
12.1–16.6% |
11.5–17.4% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
14.0% |
12.6–15.6% |
12.3–16.0% |
11.9–16.4% |
11.3–17.2% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
9.6% |
8.5–11.0% |
8.2–11.4% |
7.9–11.7% |
7.4–12.4% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.4% |
5.9–8.7% |
5.7–9.0% |
5.2–9.6% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.5% |
2.3–4.7% |
2.1–5.1% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.7–3.8% |
1.5–4.2% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
35% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
62% |
65% |
Median |
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
84% |
99.6% |
Median |
4 |
16% |
16% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
88% |
98.7% |
Median |
4 |
11% |
11% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
81% |
99.5% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
18% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
24% |
100% |
|
2 |
76% |
76% |
Median |
3 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
23% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
40% |
40% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
61% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
39% |
39% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
64% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
36% |
36% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-seats-pmf-σπαρτιάτες.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
9% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
9 |
0% |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–9 |
8–10 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-01-24-GPO-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
8 |
35% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
62% |
65% |
Median |
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Star TV
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 January 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 935
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.38%