Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 1–7 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
34.7% |
32.7–36.8% |
32.1–37.4% |
31.7–37.9% |
30.7–38.9% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
15.1% |
13.6–16.7% |
13.2–17.2% |
12.8–17.6% |
12.2–18.4% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
12.6% |
11.2–14.1% |
10.9–14.6% |
10.6–14.9% |
10.0–15.7% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
11.2% |
10.0–12.7% |
9.6–13.1% |
9.3–13.5% |
8.7–14.2% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.9% |
6.3–9.3% |
6.1–9.6% |
5.6–10.2% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.9% |
3.0–5.2% |
2.8–5.4% |
2.5–5.9% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–4.0% |
2.3–4.3% |
2.2–4.5% |
1.9–5.0% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.7% |
2.0–3.9% |
1.9–4.1% |
1.7–4.6% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.7–3.9% |
1.5–4.3% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.5% |
1.2–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
7 |
38% |
99.5% |
|
8 |
61% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
73% |
99.7% |
Median |
4 |
27% |
27% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
18% |
100% |
|
3 |
81% |
82% |
Median |
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
50% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
50% |
50% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
31% |
100% |
|
2 |
69% |
69% |
Median |
3 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
41% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
59% |
59% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-σπαρτιάτες.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
67% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
33% |
33% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
78% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
22% |
22% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
8% |
8% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–9 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-07-Alco-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
7 |
38% |
99.5% |
|
8 |
61% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 1–7 February 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 890
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.13%