Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 26–27 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
33.9% |
32.1–35.7% |
31.6–36.3% |
31.1–36.7% |
30.3–37.6% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
13.9% |
12.6–15.3% |
12.2–15.7% |
11.9–16.0% |
11.4–16.7% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.2% |
10.4–13.6% |
10.1–13.9% |
9.6–14.6% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
10.2% |
9.1–11.5% |
8.8–11.9% |
8.6–12.2% |
8.1–12.8% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
10.1% |
9.1–11.4% |
8.7–11.8% |
8.5–12.1% |
8.0–12.7% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) |
0.0% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.0% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.1–5.5% |
2.8–6.0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.6–4.8% |
2.3–5.2% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.1–4.9% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.2–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.7–4.3% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
58% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
42% |
42% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
95% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
27% |
100% |
|
3 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
10% |
10% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
99.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
10% |
10% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικη.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.5% |
98.6% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
47% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
53% |
53% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-σπαρτιάτες.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
18% |
18% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
80% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
20% |
20% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-02-27-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
58% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
42% |
42% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Action 24
- Fieldwork period: 26–27 February 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1104
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.85%