Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 26–29 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 22.7% | 36.4% | 34.3–38.7% | 33.7–39.3% | 33.1–39.9% | 32.1–41.0% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 14.4% | 12.9–16.1% | 12.5–16.6% | 12.1–17.0% | 11.4–17.9% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 26.6% | 13.5% | 12.0–15.2% | 11.6–15.7% | 11.3–16.1% | 10.6–16.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 6.1% | 10.7% | 9.4–12.2% | 9.0–12.7% | 8.7–13.1% | 8.1–13.8% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.2% | 7.0–9.5% | 6.7–9.9% | 6.4–10.3% | 5.9–11.0% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.6% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.8–4.1% | 1.5–4.5% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.3–4.2% |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.4–3.4% | 1.1–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 5 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 26% | 100% | |
| 8 | 52% | 74% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 22% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 86% | 99.2% | Median |
| 4 | 13% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 93% | 97% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 62% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 38% | 38% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 91% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 78% | 79% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 37% | 37% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 5 | 8 | 0% | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 26% | 100% | |
| 8 | 52% | 74% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 22% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 February 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 785
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.42%