Opinion Poll by GPO for Star TV, 11–13 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
35.8% |
33.8–37.8% |
33.3–38.4% |
32.8–38.9% |
31.9–39.8% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
14.6% |
13.2–16.1% |
12.8–16.6% |
12.5–16.9% |
11.9–17.7% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
14.2% |
12.8–15.7% |
12.4–16.1% |
12.1–16.5% |
11.5–17.3% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
9.7% |
8.6–11.1% |
8.3–11.4% |
8.0–11.8% |
7.5–12.4% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
8.1% |
7.0–9.3% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.5–10.0% |
6.1–10.6% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.8% |
2.2–5.2% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.2–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.8–4.7% |
Δημοκράτες (RE) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
25% |
100% |
|
8 |
70% |
75% |
Median |
9 |
5% |
5% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
81% |
98% |
Median |
4 |
17% |
17% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
3 |
87% |
99.0% |
Median |
4 |
12% |
12% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
87% |
99.4% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
12% |
12% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
14% |
100% |
|
2 |
85% |
86% |
Median |
3 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικηni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
23% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
77% |
77% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
35% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
65% |
65% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
43% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
56% |
57% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκράτες (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-δημοκράτεςre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
74% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
26% |
26% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
11% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
7–9 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-03-13-GPO-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
25% |
100% |
|
8 |
70% |
75% |
Median |
9 |
5% |
5% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Star TV
- Fieldwork period: 11–13 March 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 967
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.86%