Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 17–22 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
34.3% |
32.6–36.1% |
32.1–36.7% |
31.6–37.1% |
30.8–38.0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
16.8% |
15.5–18.3% |
15.1–18.7% |
14.8–19.1% |
14.1–19.8% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
13.9% |
12.7–15.3% |
12.3–15.7% |
12.0–16.0% |
11.4–16.7% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.3% |
8.3–10.5% |
8.0–10.8% |
7.8–11.1% |
7.3–11.7% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.2% |
7.8–10.6% |
7.5–10.9% |
7.1–11.4% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.4% |
2.9–4.2% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.3–5.1% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.5–4.2% |
2.3–4.4% |
2.1–4.8% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.9–3.8% |
1.7–4.1% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.8–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.3–3.6% |
Δημοκράτες (RE) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.8% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.5–3.2% |
1.3–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
38% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
60% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
27% |
100% |
|
4 |
71% |
73% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
88% |
98.8% |
Median |
4 |
11% |
11% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
99.4% |
Median |
3 |
10% |
10% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
99.1% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
7% |
7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικηni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
17% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
83% |
83% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
69% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
31% |
31% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
93% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
7% |
7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκράτες (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-seats-pmf-δημοκράτεςre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
96% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
4% |
4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
8 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–9 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-04-22-GPO-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
38% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
60% |
62% |
Median |
9 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 17–22 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1160
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.65%