Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 13–15 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
32.1% |
29.9–34.3% |
29.3–34.9% |
28.8–35.5% |
27.8–36.5% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
15.2% |
13.6–17.0% |
13.2–17.5% |
12.8–17.9% |
12.1–18.8% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
13.1% |
11.6–14.8% |
11.2–15.2% |
10.8–15.7% |
10.2–16.5% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.5% |
8.2–11.0% |
7.9–11.4% |
7.6–11.8% |
7.0–12.6% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
9.0% |
7.8–10.4% |
7.4–10.9% |
7.1–11.2% |
6.6–12.0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
2.8–4.6% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.5–5.1% |
2.1–5.7% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.2–4.8% |
2.0–5.3% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–4.0% |
2.2–4.3% |
2.0–4.5% |
1.8–5.0% |
Δημοκράτες (RE) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.9–3.8% |
1.7–4.1% |
1.5–4.5% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.9–3.8% |
1.7–4.1% |
1.5–4.5% |
Φωνή Λογικής (*) |
0.0% |
2.5% |
1.9–3.4% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–3.9% |
1.4–4.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
11% |
100% |
|
7 |
68% |
89% |
Median |
8 |
21% |
21% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
3 |
66% |
99.5% |
Median |
4 |
33% |
33% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
14% |
100% |
|
3 |
83% |
86% |
Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικηni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
45% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
55% |
55% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
44% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
56% |
56% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκράτες (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-δημοκράτεςre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
76% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
24% |
24% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
63% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
37% |
37% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-seats-pmf-φωνήλογικής.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
77% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
23% |
23% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
6–8 |
6–8 |
6–8 |
6–8 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-15-Alco-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
11% |
100% |
|
7 |
68% |
89% |
Median |
8 |
21% |
21% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 13–15 May 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 758
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.55%