Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 15–16 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
33.3% |
31.3–35.3% |
30.7–35.9% |
30.2–36.4% |
29.3–37.4% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
15.4% |
14.0–17.1% |
13.5–17.6% |
13.2–18.0% |
12.5–18.8% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
12.1% |
10.8–13.7% |
10.5–14.1% |
10.2–14.5% |
9.5–15.2% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.9% |
8.7–11.3% |
8.4–11.7% |
8.1–12.0% |
7.5–12.7% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
8.3% |
7.2–9.6% |
6.9–10.0% |
6.6–10.3% |
6.2–11.0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.7% |
2.8–5.0% |
2.7–5.2% |
2.4–5.7% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.2% |
2.5–4.5% |
2.3–4.7% |
2.0–5.2% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.3–3.8% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.0–4.3% |
1.8–4.8% |
Φωνή Λογικής (*) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.3–3.8% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.0–4.3% |
1.8–4.8% |
Δημοκράτες (RE) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.9–3.7% |
1.7–3.9% |
1.5–4.3% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.7–3.1% |
1.6–3.3% |
1.5–3.5% |
1.2–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
68% |
98% |
Median |
8 |
30% |
30% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
66% |
99.8% |
Median |
4 |
34% |
34% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
33% |
100% |
|
3 |
66% |
67% |
Median |
4 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
99.7% |
Median |
3 |
12% |
12% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
17% |
100% |
|
2 |
81% |
83% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικηni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
38% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
62% |
62% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
42% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
58% |
58% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-φωνήλογικής.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
54% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
46% |
46% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκράτες (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-δημοκράτεςre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
62% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
38% |
38% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
11% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
6–8 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-16-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
68% |
98% |
Median |
8 |
30% |
30% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Action 24
- Fieldwork period: 15–16 May 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 881
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.95%