Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 20–24 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
31.1% |
29.3–32.9% |
28.8–33.5% |
28.4–33.9% |
27.5–34.8% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
15.8% |
14.4–17.3% |
14.0–17.7% |
13.7–18.1% |
13.1–18.8% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
12.8% |
11.6–14.2% |
11.2–14.6% |
10.9–14.9% |
10.3–15.6% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
7.8% |
6.9–9.0% |
6.6–9.3% |
6.4–9.6% |
5.9–10.2% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.4% |
6.1–8.7% |
5.9–9.0% |
5.4–9.6% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.2–5.6% |
2.9–6.0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.8% |
3.2–4.7% |
3.0–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.1–4.9% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.2–4.3% |
2.0–4.7% |
Φωνή Λογικής (*) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.7–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Δημοκράτες (RE) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.8–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.5–3.3% |
1.3–3.7% |
Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) |
0.0% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.7% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–2.0% |
0.5–2.2% |
Κόσμος (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.6–1.8% |
0.5–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
13% |
100% |
|
7 |
86% |
87% |
Median |
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
69% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
31% |
31% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
22% |
100% |
|
3 |
76% |
78% |
Median |
4 |
2% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
33% |
100% |
|
2 |
67% |
67% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
98.8% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικηni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
40% |
40% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-φωνήλογικής.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
85% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
15% |
15% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκράτες (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-δημοκράτεςre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-αντικαπιταλιστικήαριστερήσυνεργασίαγιατηνανατροπή.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Κόσμος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κόσμος (Greens/EFA) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-seats-pmf-κόσμοςgreensefa.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
6–7 |
6–7 |
6–7 |
6–7 |
Κόσμος (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
13% |
100% |
|
7 |
86% |
87% |
Median |
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κόσμος (Greens/EFA)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-05-24-MetronAnalysis-coalitions-seats-pmf-κ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): Mega TV
- Fieldwork period: 20–24 May 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1072
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.54%