Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 29 May–1 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
33.0% |
31.1–35.0% |
30.6–35.6% |
30.1–36.1% |
29.2–37.0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
16.1% |
14.7–17.8% |
14.3–18.2% |
14.0–18.6% |
13.3–19.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
12.3% |
11.1–13.8% |
10.7–14.2% |
10.4–14.6% |
9.8–15.3% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.3% |
7.6–10.7% |
7.4–11.0% |
6.9–11.6% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.4–9.9% |
6.0–10.5% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.6% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.8% |
2.2–5.2% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Φωνή Λογικής (*) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.5–4.2% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.5–4.2% |
Δημοκράτες (RE) |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.4–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
3% |
100% |
|
7 |
72% |
97% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
24% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
51% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
49% |
49% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
10% |
100% |
|
3 |
89% |
90% |
Median |
4 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
98% |
98.7% |
Median |
3 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
95% |
95% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικηni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
22% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
84% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
16% |
16% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-φωνήλογικής.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
10% |
10% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
40% |
40% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκράτες (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-seats-pmf-δημοκράτεςre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
9% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
6–8 |
6–8 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-01-OpinionPoll-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
3% |
100% |
|
7 |
72% |
97% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
24% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Action 24
- Fieldwork period: 29 May–1 June 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 966
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.54%