Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 4–6 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
![Voting Intentions Graph with voting intentions not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB.png)
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
22.7% |
31.5% |
29.7–33.4% |
29.2–34.0% |
28.7–34.5% |
27.9–35.4% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
26.6% |
16.0% |
14.6–17.6% |
14.2–18.0% |
13.9–18.4% |
13.2–19.2% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
12.5% |
11.3–14.0% |
10.9–14.4% |
10.6–14.7% |
10.1–15.5% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.2–10.1% |
6.9–10.4% |
6.5–11.0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
6.1% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.0–10.5% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) |
0.0% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.2% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.2–4.3% |
1.9–4.8% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.8–4.6% |
Φωνή Λογικής (*) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Δημοκράτες (RE) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
![Seats Graph with seats not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats.png)
![Seating Plan Graph with seating plan not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seating-plan.png)
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-νέαδημοκρατίαepp.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
14% |
100% |
|
7 |
80% |
86% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
6% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-συνασπισμόςριζοσπαστικήςαριστεράςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
52% |
100% |
Median |
4 |
48% |
48% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-κίνημααλλαγήςsd.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
16% |
100% |
|
3 |
83% |
84% |
Median |
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-ελληνικήλύσηecr.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
12% |
100% |
|
2 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-κομμουνιστικόκόμμαελλάδαςni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
10% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-δημοκρατικόπατριωτικόκίνημανικηni.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-πλεύσηελευθερίας.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
22% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
78% |
78% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-νέααριστεράguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
52% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
48% |
48% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-μέτωποευρωπαϊκήςρεαλιστικήςανυπακοήςguengl.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
61% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
39% |
39% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (*) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-φωνήλογικής.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
69% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
31% |
31% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκράτες (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες (RE) page.
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-seats-pmf-δημοκράτεςre.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
![Coalitions Seats Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-coalitions-seats.png)
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
5 |
7 |
0% |
6–7 |
6–8 |
6–8 |
6–8 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
![Seats Probability Mass Function Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](2024-06-06-MRB-coalitions-seats-pmf-νδ.png)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
14% |
100% |
|
7 |
80% |
86% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
6% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: MRB
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 4–6 June 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1012
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.07%