Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 26–30 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 27.7% 26.1–29.3% 25.6–29.8% 25.3–30.2% 24.5–31.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.4% 12.3–14.7% 11.9–15.1% 11.7–15.4% 11.1–16.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 10.9% 9.8–12.1% 9.5–12.4% 9.3–12.7% 8.8–13.3%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 10.2% 9.1–11.4% 8.9–11.7% 8.6–12.0% 8.2–12.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8% 7.8–11.0% 7.4–11.6%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 6.8% 6.0–7.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.6–8.4% 5.2–8.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 4.1% 3.5–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.2–5.4% 2.9–5.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.6% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.3%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6 6 5–6 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3 3 2–3 2–4
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 95% 97% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 97% 97% Median
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 90% 100% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 98.5% 99.5% Median
3 1.0% 1.0%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 67% 100% Median
2 33% 33%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 99.0% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 25% 25%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6 6 5–6 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 95% 97% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations