Opinion Poll by Interview for Political, 2–6 September 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 27.2% | 25.4–29.1% | 24.9–29.6% | 24.4–30.1% | 23.6–31.0% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 14.6% | 13.2–16.2% | 12.8–16.6% | 12.5–17.0% | 11.9–17.8% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.3–14.6% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.6–13.0% | 9.3–13.4% | 8.8–14.0% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 10.7% | 9.5–12.1% | 9.2–12.5% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.3–13.5% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 10% | 100% | |
| 6 | 88% | 90% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 99.5% | Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 47% | 100% | |
| 3 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 73% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 27% | 27% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.3% | 99.5% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 10% | 100% | |
| 6 | 88% | 90% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Interview
- Commissioner(s): Political
- Fieldwork period: 2–6 September 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 965
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.55%