Opinion Poll by GPO for Star TV, 8–10 September 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
0.0% |
33.9% |
31.9–35.8% |
31.4–36.4% |
30.9–36.9% |
30.0–37.9% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
14.7% |
13.3–16.3% |
12.9–16.7% |
12.6–17.1% |
12.0–17.8% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
11.6% |
10.4–13.0% |
10.0–13.4% |
9.7–13.8% |
9.2–14.5% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
0.0% |
10.2% |
9.1–11.6% |
8.8–12.0% |
8.5–12.3% |
8.0–13.0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
10.1% |
9.0–11.5% |
8.7–11.9% |
8.4–12.2% |
7.9–12.9% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) |
0.0% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.0–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.5–7.2% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) |
0.0% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.6% |
3.2–5.8% |
2.9–6.3% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.8% |
2.2–5.2% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.4–4.1% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.3–2.8% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.0–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
55% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
45% |
45% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
83% |
99.7% |
Median |
4 |
17% |
17% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
27% |
100% |
|
3 |
73% |
73% |
Median |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
73% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
27% |
27% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
99.0% |
Median |
2 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
19% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
81% |
81% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
81% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
19% |
19% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
0 |
7 |
0% |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
7–8 |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
55% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
45% |
45% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
7% |
7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Star TV
- Fieldwork period: 8–10 September 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 966
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.08%