Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 9–14 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.7% 26.7–30.9% 26.1–31.6% 25.6–32.1% 24.6–33.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 16.0% 14.4–17.9% 14.0–18.4% 13.6–18.9% 12.8–19.8%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 12.0% 10.6–13.7% 10.2–14.2% 9.9–14.6% 9.3–15.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 11.1% 9.7–12.7% 9.4–13.2% 9.0–13.6% 8.4–14.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.4% 8.1–10.9% 7.8–11.3% 7.5–11.7% 6.9–12.4%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 4.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–6.0% 3.3–6.3% 2.9–6.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–5.8% 2.6–6.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.7% 2.5–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.3% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–3.8% 1.3–4.3%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.7–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 75% 97% Median
7 22% 22%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 51% 100% Median
4 49% 49%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 36% 100%  
3 64% 64% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 64% 100% Median
3 36% 36%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 100%  
2 92% 98.6% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 94% 95% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 75% 97% Median
7 22% 22%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 94% 95% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations