Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 24–27 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 32.2% 30.4–34.0% 29.9–34.5% 29.5–34.9% 28.7–35.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 16.6% 15.3–18.1% 14.9–18.5% 14.6–18.9% 14.0–19.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 10.4% 9.3–11.6% 9.0–12.0% 8.7–12.3% 8.3–12.9%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.3% 8.2–10.4% 8.0–10.8% 7.7–11.1% 7.3–11.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.6% 7.6–10.9% 7.1–11.5%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.3–5.6% 3.0–6.1%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.8–5.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.8–4.3%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 7% 100%  
7 89% 93% Median
8 4% 4%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 31% 100%  
4 69% 69% Median
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 94% 100% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 98% 99.2% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 97% 98% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.4% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.2% Median
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 7% 100%  
7 89% 93% Median
8 4% 4%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.4% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations