Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 30 September–2 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.4% 26.9–30.1% 26.4–30.5% 26.0–30.9% 25.3–31.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 15.8% 14.6–17.2% 14.2–17.6% 13.9–17.9% 13.4–18.6%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 10.8% 9.8–12.0% 9.5–12.3% 9.3–12.6% 8.8–13.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 10.0% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5% 8.5–11.7% 8.0–12.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 9.7% 8.7–10.8% 8.4–11.1% 8.2–11.4% 7.7–12.0%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.8–5.8% 3.7–6.0% 3.4–6.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.5% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.6% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.8–5.6%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–4.9% 3.0–5.1% 2.7–5.5%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–4.1%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 1.0% 100%  
6 77% 99.0% Median
7 22% 22%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 72% 100% Median
4 28% 28%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 82% 100% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 95% 99.9% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98% 99.9% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.9% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.9% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 33%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 1.0% 100%  
6 77% 99.0% Median
7 22% 22%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.9% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations