Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 26 September–2 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 29.1% 27.5–30.7% 27.1–31.2% 26.7–31.6% 25.9–32.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 17.2% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.0% 15.2–19.3% 14.6–20.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 10.5% 9.5–11.7% 9.2–12.0% 9.0–12.3% 8.5–12.9%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.9% 8.9–11.1% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.7% 8.0–12.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.5% 7.6–9.5% 7.3–9.8% 7.1–10.1% 6.7–10.7%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.8–6.1% 3.5–6.5%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.7% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.0% 3.4–6.5%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.2% 2.7–4.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.3–5.0%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.2–4.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.6–3.9%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.5% 0.9–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.3% 100%  
6 79% 99.7% Median
7 21% 21%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 87% 87% Median
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 96% 99.9% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 100% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.3% 100%  
6 79% 99.7% Median
7 21% 21%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations