Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 15–19 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 29.5% 27.5–31.7% 26.9–32.3% 26.4–32.8% 25.4–33.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 17.9% 16.3–19.8% 15.8–20.4% 15.4–20.8% 14.6–21.7%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 11.1% 9.7–12.6% 9.3–13.1% 9.0–13.5% 8.4–14.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 10.1% 8.9–11.7% 8.5–12.1% 8.2–12.5% 7.6–13.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.7% 6.6–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 6.0–9.8% 5.5–10.5%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.3% 3.5–6.6% 3.1–7.2%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 4.7% 3.8–5.8% 3.6–6.1% 3.4–6.4% 3.0–7.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.7–5.5% 2.4–6.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.7% 2.3–4.9% 2.0–5.4%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 67% 99.3% Median
7 32% 32%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 16% 100%  
4 83% 84% Median
5 1.5% 1.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 72% 100% Median
3 28% 28%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.4% 100%  
2 91% 99.6% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 24% 100%  
2 76% 76% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.5% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 98.8% 99.5% Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 67% 99.3% Median
7 32% 32%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.5% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations