Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 22–26 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 32.1% 30.2–34.1% 29.7–34.7% 29.2–35.1% 28.3–36.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 19.2% 17.7–21.0% 17.2–21.4% 16.9–21.9% 16.1–22.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 10.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.5–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.5% 1.9–4.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.7–4.5%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 7% 100%  
7 80% 93% Median
8 13% 13%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 70% 98% Median
5 28% 28%  
6 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 66% 100% Median
3 34% 34%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 98% 98.9% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 97% 98% Median
3 0.9% 0.9%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 92% 99.9% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 93% 99.8% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 55% 55% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Last Result, Median
1 36% 36%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 7% 100%  
7 80% 93% Median
8 13% 13%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 93% 99.8% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations