Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 18–22 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.6% 28.7–32.7% 28.1–33.3% 27.6–33.9% 26.7–34.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 20.7% 19.0–22.5% 18.5–23.1% 18.1–23.5% 17.3–24.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.4% 8.2–10.8% 7.9–11.2% 7.6–11.6% 7.1–12.3%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.5% 7.7–10.9% 7.4–11.3% 6.9–12.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.6–8.5% 5.4–8.8% 4.9–9.4%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 6.3% 5.3–7.5% 5.1–7.8% 4.8–8.2% 4.4–8.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–5.1% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.6% 2.6–6.1%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1% 2.7–5.3% 2.4–5.8%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.3–3.2% 1.1–3.6%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.3%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 29% 99.9%  
7 70% 71% Median
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 23% 100%  
5 76% 77% Median
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 94% 99.5% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 96% 99.9% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 93% 93% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 59% 100% Median
2 41% 41%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 29% 99.9%  
7 70% 71% Median
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 59% 100% Median
2 41% 41%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations