Opinion Poll by Marc for Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ, 25–28 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 31.8% 29.9–33.8% 29.3–34.3% 28.9–34.8% 28.0–35.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 18.6% 17.0–20.3% 16.6–20.7% 16.2–21.2% 15.5–22.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.4% 6.8–9.7% 6.5–10.0% 6.1–10.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.4% 6.2–9.7% 5.8–10.3%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.1–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.4–9.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.9–6.7% 3.5–7.3%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.9–6.7% 3.5–7.3%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.3% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.5% 3.1–5.8% 2.8–6.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 1.9–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 20% 100%  
7 77% 80% Median
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.3% 100%  
4 91% 98.7% Median
5 8% 8%  
6 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 23% 100%  
2 76% 77% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 85% 85% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 39% 100%  
2 61% 61% Median
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.9% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100% Last Result
1 76% 76% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 27% 27%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 20% 100%  
7 77% 80% Median
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations