Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 9–13 December 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
0.0% |
30.3% |
28.3–32.3% |
27.8–32.9% |
27.3–33.4% |
26.4–34.4% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) |
0.0% |
19.8% |
18.1–21.6% |
17.7–22.1% |
17.3–22.6% |
16.5–23.5% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) |
0.0% |
9.5% |
8.4–11.0% |
8.0–11.4% |
7.8–11.7% |
7.2–12.4% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.2% |
8.0–10.6% |
7.7–11.0% |
7.4–11.3% |
6.9–12.0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
5.9–8.1% |
5.6–8.5% |
5.4–8.8% |
4.9–9.4% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) |
0.0% |
5.8% |
4.9–7.0% |
4.6–7.3% |
4.4–7.6% |
4.0–8.2% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) |
0.0% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.5% |
3.4–5.8% |
3.2–6.0% |
2.9–6.6% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.6% |
2.7–4.8% |
2.5–5.1% |
2.3–5.6% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) |
0.0% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.2% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.3–4.7% |
2.0–5.2% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.7% |
2.0–3.9% |
1.9–4.1% |
1.6–4.6% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.1% |
0.9–2.3% |
0.8–2.4% |
0.6–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
34% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
62% |
66% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
61% |
99.6% |
Median |
5 |
38% |
38% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
98.7% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
44% |
100% |
|
2 |
56% |
56% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
12% |
12% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98.6% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
24% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
76% |
76% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
30% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
66% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
34% |
34% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) |
0 |
7 |
0% |
6–7 |
6–7 |
6–8 |
6–8 |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
34% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
62% |
66% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
12% |
12% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 9–13 December 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 859
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.66%