Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 9–13 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.3% 28.3–32.3% 27.8–32.9% 27.3–33.4% 26.4–34.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 19.8% 18.1–21.6% 17.7–22.1% 17.3–22.6% 16.5–23.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.5% 8.4–11.0% 8.0–11.4% 7.8–11.7% 7.2–12.4%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.2% 8.0–10.6% 7.7–11.0% 7.4–11.3% 6.9–12.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.6–8.5% 5.4–8.8% 4.9–9.4%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.4–7.6% 4.0–8.2%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 4.4% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.8% 3.2–6.0% 2.9–6.6%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.8% 2.5–5.1% 2.3–5.6%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.3% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5% 2.3–4.7% 2.0–5.2%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.9–4.1% 1.6–4.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.4% 0.6–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 34% 99.9%  
7 62% 66% Median
8 4% 4%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 61% 99.6% Median
5 38% 38%  
6 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.3% 100%  
2 93% 98.7% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 96% 99.1% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 44% 100%  
2 56% 56% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 88% 100% Median
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98.6% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100% Last Result
1 76% 76% Median
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 70% 70% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Last Result, Median
1 34% 34%  
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 34% 99.9%  
7 62% 66% Median
8 4% 4%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 88% 100% Median
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations