Opinion Poll by MRB for , 4–13 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.3% 26.9–29.8% 26.5–30.2% 26.1–30.5% 25.5–31.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 17.5% 16.4–18.8% 16.0–19.2% 15.7–19.5% 15.2–20.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 9.9% 9.0–10.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.5–11.4% 8.1–11.9%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.9% 9.0–10.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.5–11.4% 8.1–11.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.9% 9.0–10.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.5–11.4% 8.1–11.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.7–5.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.5% 3.0–4.2% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.9%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 0.9–2.6%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6 6–7 6–7 6–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 90% 99.9% Median
7 10% 10%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 93% 94% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 90% 100% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 77% 100% Median
3 23% 23%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 87% 100% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.8% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 85% 85% Median
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 90% 99.9% Median
7 10% 10%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 87% 100% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations