Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Manifesto, 11–13 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.4% 28.3–32.5% 27.7–33.1% 27.3–33.7% 26.3–34.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 18.6% 17.0–20.5% 16.5–21.0% 16.1–21.5% 15.3–22.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.1% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.4–10.2% 5.9–10.9%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 7.7% 6.6–9.0% 6.3–9.4% 6.0–9.8% 5.5–10.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.5% 5.5–7.8% 5.3–8.2% 5.0–8.5% 4.6–9.1%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 6.3% 5.3–7.5% 5.0–7.9% 4.8–8.2% 4.4–8.9%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.4–7.7% 4.0–8.3%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.7–6.8% 3.3–7.4%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 4.2% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5% 3.0–5.8% 2.6–6.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.2% 1.6–4.6%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.8% 0.8–3.2%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.8% 0.8–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 4 4 4–5 3–5
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 34% 99.9%  
7 65% 66% Median
8 1.1% 1.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 93% 98% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 95% 96% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 93% 93% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 52% 100% Median
2 48% 48%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 77% 100% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 86% 100% Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 95% 99.9% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 34% 99.9%  
7 65% 66% Median
8 1.1% 1.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 77% 100% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations