Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 11–17 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 29.2% 27.4–31.0% 26.9–31.5% 26.5–32.0% 25.7–32.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 17.4% 16.0–19.0% 15.6–19.4% 15.3–19.8% 14.6–20.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.4–10.8% 7.0–11.4%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.2–10.5% 6.7–11.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.2% 5.7–9.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 7.2% 6.3–8.3% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–8.9% 5.4–9.5%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.5% 100%  
6 55% 99.5% Median
7 44% 44%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 25% 100%  
4 74% 75% Median
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 100%  
2 98% 98.8% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 95% 95% Median
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 34% 100%  
2 66% 66% Median
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 45% 100%  
2 55% 55% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98.6% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 72% 72% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Last Result, Median
1 36% 36%  
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.5% 100%  
6 55% 99.5% Median
7 44% 44%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations