Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 15–17 December 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 29.8% | 28.0–31.8% | 27.4–32.4% | 27.0–32.8% | 26.1–33.8% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 16.7% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.8% | 14.4–19.2% | 13.7–20.0% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.8% | 8.0–11.2% | 7.7–11.5% | 7.2–12.2% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.6% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 7.7% | 6.7–9.0% | 6.4–9.3% | 6.2–9.6% | 5.7–10.3% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.2–6.9% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.2–6.9% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) | 0.0% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.2–6.9% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.5% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–4.1% |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.9% | 0.9–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 7 | 30% | 30% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 99.1% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98% | 99.2% | Median |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 99.8% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.2% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 88% | 88% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 70% | 70% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 86% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 14% | 14% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 7 | 30% | 30% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Pulse RC
- Commissioner(s): ΣΚΑΪ
- Fieldwork period: 15–17 December 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 942
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.61%