Opinion Poll by Palmos Analysis for Ελεύθερος Τύπος, 16–23 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 31.2% 29.3–33.3% 28.7–33.9% 28.3–34.4% 27.3–35.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 16.4% 14.8–18.1% 14.4–18.5% 14.1–19.0% 13.4–19.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7% 7.3–11.1% 6.8–11.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.5% 7.4–9.8% 7.1–10.2% 6.8–10.6% 6.4–11.2%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 8.1% 7.0–9.4% 6.7–9.7% 6.4–10.1% 6.0–10.7%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.7–6.7% 3.4–7.2%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.6–6.0% 3.4–6.3% 3.1–6.8%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.7–5.2% 2.4–5.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6% 2.4–4.8% 2.1–5.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.1–4.4% 1.8–4.9%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.5–3.5% 1.2–3.9%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9% 1.2–3.1% 1.0–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 1–3 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 16% 100%  
7 78% 84% Median
8 6% 6%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 38% 100%  
4 62% 62% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 94% 97% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 16% 100%  
2 77% 84% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 94% 95% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 97% 99.9% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.2% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 55% 55% Median
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100% Last Result
1 59% 59% Median
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 16% 100%  
7 78% 84% Median
8 6% 6%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.2% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations