Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 7–10 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 33.2% 31.4–35.1% 30.8–35.7% 30.4–36.1% 29.5–37.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 17.9% 16.4–19.5% 16.0–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 77% 98% Median
8 21% 21%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 93% 93% Median
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 95% 96% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 11% 100%  
2 89% 89% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 68% 100% Median
2 32% 32%  
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 100% Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.9% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 37% 100% Last Result
1 63% 63% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 77% 98% Median
8 21% 21%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.3% 99.9% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations