Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 27–29 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 27.9% 25.8–30.0% 25.3–30.6% 24.8–31.2% 23.8–32.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 16.4% 14.8–18.3% 14.4–18.8% 14.0–19.3% 13.2–20.2%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.5% 8.3–11.1% 7.9–11.5% 7.7–11.9% 7.1–12.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.4% 8.2–10.9% 7.8–11.3% 7.5–11.7% 7.0–12.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.4% 7.2–9.8% 6.9–10.2% 6.6–10.6% 6.1–11.3%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 8.0% 6.8–9.4% 6.5–9.8% 6.2–10.1% 5.7–10.8%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 7.4% 6.3–8.8% 6.0–9.2% 5.8–9.5% 5.3–10.2%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.6% 2.5–6.2%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.5% 1.8–5.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.5% 1.8–5.0%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 10% 100%  
6 79% 90% Median
7 11% 11%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 45% 100%  
4 55% 55% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 95% 99.2% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 94% 98% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 21% 100%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 31% 100%  
2 69% 69% Median
3 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 57% 57% Median
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 10% 100%  
6 79% 90% Median
7 11% 11%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 21% 100%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations