Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 12–18 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.8% 27.0–30.6% 26.5–31.2% 26.0–31.6% 25.2–32.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 14.6% 13.3–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.6–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 10.2% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–11.9% 8.5–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.6–10.0%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.5–4.2%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.9% 100%  
6 55% 99.1% Median
7 44% 44%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.5% 100%  
3 86% 98.5% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 89% 100% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 98% 99.2% Median
3 1.0% 1.0%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 100%  
2 97% 98.6% Median
3 1.4% 1.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 35% 100%  
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.7% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 73% 73% Median
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 71% 71% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.9% 100%  
6 55% 99.1% Median
7 44% 44%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.7% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations