Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 4–6 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 26.7% 24.7–28.9% 24.2–29.5% 23.7–30.0% 22.8–31.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 15.4% 13.8–17.2% 13.3–17.7% 13.0–18.2% 12.2–19.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 12.0% 10.6–13.7% 10.2–14.2% 9.9–14.6% 9.3–15.4%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 11.4% 10.0–13.0% 9.6–13.4% 9.3–13.9% 8.7–14.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.0% 7.7–10.4% 7.4–10.9% 7.1–11.2% 6.6–12.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.2% 5.8–10.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.7% 3.8–5.8% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.4% 3.0–7.0%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.1%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.9% 1.7–4.1% 1.5–4.6%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.5% 0.6–2.9%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.5% 0.6–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 10% 100%  
6 87% 90% Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 54% 100% Median
4 46% 46%  
5 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 30% 100%  
3 70% 70% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 34% 100%  
3 66% 66% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 96% 98% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 92% 93% Median
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 97% 99.2% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 25% 25%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 10% 100%  
6 87% 90% Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 97% 99.2% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations