Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 14–18 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.2% 26.3–30.3% 25.8–30.9% 25.3–31.4% 24.4–32.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 15.9% 14.3–17.6% 13.9–18.1% 13.5–18.5% 12.8–19.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 14.3% 12.8–16.0% 12.4–16.4% 12.1–16.8% 11.4–17.7%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 11.3% 10.0–12.8% 9.7–13.3% 9.3–13.7% 8.8–14.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.3% 7.2–9.7% 6.9–10.1% 6.6–10.4% 6.2–11.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5% 4.5–7.8% 4.1–8.4%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.3–5.1% 3.1–5.4% 2.9–5.6% 2.6–6.1%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.5% 1.8–5.0%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.5–3.7% 1.3–4.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.3% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–3.9%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.5%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 2% 100%  
6 80% 98% Median
7 18% 18%  
8 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 20% 100%  
4 80% 80% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 87% 99.5% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 23% 100%  
3 76% 77% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 96% 98% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 78% 100% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 33%  
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 2% 100%  
6 80% 98% Median
7 18% 18%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations