Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 27 March–1 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 31.1% 29.3–33.1% 28.7–33.6% 28.3–34.1% 27.4–35.1%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 16.1% 14.6–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.2–19.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.3–14.9% 11.0–15.3% 10.4–16.0%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.0–9.4% 5.6–10.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 5.9–9.3% 5.5–9.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.5–4.2%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 18% 100%  
7 79% 82% Median
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 48% 100%  
4 52% 52% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 12% 100%  
3 87% 88% Median
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 97% 98% Median
3 1.0% 1.0%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 11% 100%  
2 89% 89% Median
3 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 16% 100%  
2 84% 84% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 15%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 18% 100%  
7 79% 82% Median
8 3% 3%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations