Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 31 March–4 April 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 26.5% | 24.6–28.5% | 24.1–29.0% | 23.7–29.5% | 22.8–30.5% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 15.3% | 13.8–17.0% | 13.4–17.4% | 13.1–17.8% | 12.4–18.7% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 14.6% | 13.2–16.2% | 12.8–16.7% | 12.4–17.1% | 11.8–17.9% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 11.1% | 9.8–12.5% | 9.5–13.0% | 9.2–13.3% | 8.6–14.1% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.7% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.2–11.5% | 7.9–11.9% | 7.4–12.6% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 5.0–8.4% | 4.6–8.9% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.3–4.7% | 2.0–5.2% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.5% | 1.9–4.9% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.5–3.5% | 1.3–3.9% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.4–3.4% | 1.2–3.8% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.2% | 1.1–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 17% | 100% | |
| 6 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 28% | 28% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 84% | 99.7% | Median |
| 4 | 16% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 23% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 49% | 100% | |
| 2 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 4% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 17% | 100% | |
| 6 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Παραπολιτικά
- Fieldwork period: 31 March–4 April 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 876
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.61%